It seems to me….
“There’s no light at the end of the tunnel in the Republican message, no promise of better things to come. There’s only the present stagnation, followed by a slow decline.” ~John Podhoretz.
No one can deny that the Democratic Party is in a state of total humiliating disarray. Not only did they lose the 2016 Presidential election to the most completely unqualified candidate in U.S. history, in just eight years they also lost their majorities in the House, Senate, state governors, and state legislatures.
Perhaps the only sunshine visible to Democrats is that notwithstanding their recent success, Republicans are not doing that well either. Granted the Republican’s scale of problems are not comparable with those of the Democrats but they should not be overly celebratory.
There is widespread national dissatisfaction with politics, especially among Republicans. Fully 79 percent of all Republicans and those leaning Republican believe their side loses more often than it wins. Less-educated white Republicans were more likely than those with more education to view politics “as a struggle between right and wrong”.
November’s election was a strange anomaly but might be a harbinger of a political realignment with the Democratic Party increasingly representing technocratic elites, college-educated professionals, working women, and minorities all with an open orientation toward globalization while the Republicans are becoming the party of rural districts, blue-collar workers, and mostly less-educated, elderly white men who support a closed system of controls on trade, immigration, and perhaps even technology.
In 2015, white non-Hispanics made up a large majority (80 percent) of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents but make up a smaller share (65 percent) of the public overall. About a quarter (23 percent) of Republicans and those leaning Republican are white college graduates. Nearly six-in-ten (57 percent) are whites who either have not attended college or did attended college but not obtained a degree.
Instead of reveling in Reagan’s economic legacy, many Republicans hardly recognize it. They misremember the Reagan years as a time of inexorable tax, deficit, and spending cuts (though he at various times raised all three) and mischaracterize everything that has followed as a retreat from that imagined perfection. They vie to be what their party craves: the second coming of something that never actually existed. They allay the wider concerns about its motives, indiscipline, and intemperance.
The Republican Party has become an insurgent outlier – ideologically extreme; contemptuous of the inherited social and economic policy regime; scornful of compromise; unpersuaded by conventional understanding of facts, evidence, or science; and dismissive of the legitimacy of its political opposition. They have become divided not on a left-right division but on an open-closed one – between those who favor free trade, immigration, and technological dynamism and those concerned about these forces. Polls show that Republicans are now more opposed to free trade than the Democrats.
Rightwing extremists have taken uncompromising positions on trade, public spending, abortion, and other issues, at times depriving the House Republicans of their majority. The worrying truth for Republicans is that the Caucus is less an outlier in their party than a caricature of it. Its members’ intolerance, apparent indifference to the vulnerable, and relentless negativity are qualities that Americans, especially women and ethnic minorities, increasingly associate with Republicans at large. According to a recent survey by the Pew Research Centre, 60 percent of Americans, and a third of Republicans, have an unfavorable view of the party. It is considered by double-digit margins to hold extreme views and be unconcerned about “the needs of people like me”.
Of immediate concern to Republicans is that trump’s overall job approval is much lower than that of prior presidents in their first weeks in office: 39 percent approve of his job performance, while 56 percent disapprove. Unless perception of trump substantially improves, Democrats will be presented with an opportunity to gain Congressional seats in the upcoming midterm elections and possibly assume control of the Senate.
Everyone, along with basic truth and facts, are threatened by a predominantly rightwing conservative anti-science coalition of fundamentalists churches and corporations largely in the resources extraction, petrochemical, and agrochemical industries that critically reject evidence-based policy to protect destructive business interests. Changing national demographics; voter percentage increases of both minorities and college graduates – both normally predominantly Democratic; do not favor Republicans. If the Republicans fail to increase their appeal to these voting blocks, all Democrats need do is be patient as time appears to be in their favor.
That’s what I think, what about you?
 John Mordecai Podhoretz is an American writer. He is the editor of Commentary magazine, columnist for the New York Post, the author of several books on politics, and a former presidential speechwriter.
 Smith, Samantha, and Carroll Doherty. A divide between college, non-college Republicans, Pew Research, http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2016/03/01/a-divide-between-college-non-college-republicans/?utm_source=Pew+Research+Center&utm_campaign=af7be6881d-Weekly_March_3_20163_3_2016&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_3e953b9b70-af7be6881d-400092341, 1 March 2016.
 Zakaria, Fareed. The Politics Of The Future: Be Open And Armed, Washington Post, https://fareedzakaria.com/2016/07/08/the-politics-of-the-future-be-open-and-armed/, 7 July 2016.
 GOP’s Favorability Rating Edges Lower, Pew Research, http://www.people-press.org/2016/04/28/gops-favorability-rating-edges-lower/, 28 April 2016.
 In First Month, Views of Trump Are Already Strongly Felt, Deeply Polarized, Pew Research, http://www.people-press.org/2017/02/16/in-first-month-views-of-trump-are-already-strongly-felt-deeply-polarized/?utm_source=Pew+Research+Center&utm_campaign=8c74db95b0-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_02_16&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_3e953b9b70-8c74db95b0-400092341, 16 February 2017.